Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 110.508391 127.640613 148.009855 174.440292 208.489182 251.857731 312.995978
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 86.889689 107.280767 134.223881 173.897121 233.698084 326.172534 494.412810
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 74.015353 95.113325 124.871501 172.501987 252.817662 397.604094 730.236084
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 64.699835 85.461324 116.119241 168.287388 264.269202 461.205039 1027.931317
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 58.467040 79.017063 110.563054 167.197355 280.086434 543.345000 1522.194791
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 53.982726 74.438463 106.943838 168.244752 300.212310 651.565966 2437.651590
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 49.193762 68.745694 100.543601 162.574728 303.660104 719.275945 3525.627358
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 47.336225 67.449737 101.299369 170.802887 343.183732 946.444056 8561.232541
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 43.830135 63.066616 96.006562 165.462951 345.955806 1044.274217 15633.840199
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.632013 60.643590 93.921742 166.537669 367.330344 1263.715988 58203.965947
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 39.277988 57.734467 90.572560 164.108813 377.539594 1452.239624 576493.467433
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.593672 57.633904 92.501541 174.319515 434.399953 2117.942799 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.822519 59.377013 98.716805 198.135609 567.058963 4635.951536 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.728099 56.730215 95.726181 197.480053 602.942277 6715.532007 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.797287 54.202905 92.642424 195.797123 634.406431 9945.811688 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.825743 51.432275 88.700825 190.720744 645.607358 13675.766269 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.319389 49.427697 86.201287 189.409702 678.796595 23326.603284 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.125767 47.928633 84.645434 190.669449 731.437412 56305.935665 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.530933 45.534646 80.817059 183.858461 725.342305 88590.587941 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.067475 45.328025 81.974832 193.749216 855.699607 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.718714 43.263311 78.570592 187.325242 849.876291 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.888455 42.189448 77.418058 188.616640 916.847708 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 24.902836 40.739339 75.223689 185.699165 942.754991 NaN NaN